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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

This week's picks

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Predictions
Track Record
Us vs Vegas
Betting ROI
Fighters
Calendar

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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
Our Philosophy
What predicts fights
Model analytics
Test the Model
Error analysis

Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Mario Bautista

11W · 3L

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Bantamweight

45% finish rate88% as favorite67% as underdog

1540

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

5.7

Sig. Strikes

1.8

Takedowns

0.7

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO1 (9%)

Submission4 (36%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO1 (33%)

Submission1 (33%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

88%

7W – 1L in 8 fights

As Underdog

67%

4W – 2L in 6 fights