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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Us vs Vegas
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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
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What predicts fights
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Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Paul Craig

9W · 11L

Orthodox

Light Heavyweight

Middleweight

100% finish rate100% as favorite35% as underdog

1472

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

7.6

Sig. Strikes

1.4

Takedowns

1.5

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO3 (33%)

Submission6 (67%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO6 (55%)

Submission2 (18%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

100%

3W – 0L in 3 fights

As Underdog

35%

6W – 11L in 17 fights