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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Us vs Vegas
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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
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What predicts fights
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Error analysis

Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Paulo Thiago

2W · 7L

Orthodox

Welterweight

0% finish rate33% as favorite0% as underdog

1354

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

15.9

Sig. Strikes

1.0

Takedowns

1.4

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO0 (0%)

Submission0 (0%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO2 (29%)

Submission0 (0%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

33%

2W – 4L in 6 fights

As Underdog

0%

0W – 3L in 3 fights