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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

This week's picks

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Us vs Vegas
Betting ROI
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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
Our Philosophy
What predicts fights
Model analytics
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Error analysis

Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Raphael Assuncao

12W · 7L

Orthodox

Bantamweight

Featherweight

25% finish rate100% as favorite36% as underdog

1496

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

29.2

Sig. Strikes

1.2

Takedowns

0.2

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO2 (17%)

Submission1 (8%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO3 (43%)

Submission2 (29%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

100%

8W – 0L in 8 fights

As Underdog

36%

4W – 7L in 11 fights