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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Us vs Vegas
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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
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What predicts fights
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Error analysis

Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Renan Barao

9W · 8L

Orthodox

Featherweight

Bantamweight

56% finish rate64% as favorite0% as underdog

1379

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

54.2

Sig. Strikes

1.9

Takedowns

0.3

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO2 (22%)

Submission3 (33%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO3 (38%)

Submission0 (0%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

64%

9W – 5L in 14 fights

As Underdog

0%

0W – 3L in 3 fights