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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

This week's picks

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Us vs Vegas
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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
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What predicts fights
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Error analysis

Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Rick Story

10W · 6L

Southpaw

Welterweight

30% finish rate67% as favorite57% as underdog

1491

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

40.7

Sig. Strikes

2.7

Takedowns

1.3

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO2 (20%)

Submission1 (10%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO1 (17%)

Submission1 (17%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

67%

6W – 3L in 9 fights

As Underdog

57%

4W – 3L in 7 fights