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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

This week's picks

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Us vs Vegas
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Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
Our Philosophy
What predicts fights
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Error analysis

Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Ryan Bader

11W · 5L

Orthodox

Light Heavyweight

36% finish rate89% as favorite43% as underdog

1491

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

25.9

Sig. Strikes

2.3

Takedowns

0.3

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO3 (27%)

Submission1 (9%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO3 (60%)

Submission2 (40%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

89%

8W – 1L in 9 fights

As Underdog

43%

3W – 4L in 7 fights