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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Sergio Moraes

8W · 5L

Orthodox

Welterweight

Middleweight

50% finish rate100% as favorite29% as underdog

1379

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

29.8

Sig. Strikes

1.1

Takedowns

0.4

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO1 (13%)

Submission3 (38%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO3 (60%)

Submission0 (0%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

100%

6W – 0L in 6 fights

As Underdog

29%

2W – 5L in 7 fights