Justin Willis
4W · 1L
Southpaw
Heavyweight
25% finish rate100% as favorite0% as underdog
1492
ELO Rating
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1491.5Developing→
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
No recent fights — out of active rankings
Age
38
Jul 19, 1987
Height
6'1" (185.42 cm)
Reach
198.12 cm
Win Rate
80.0%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
3.37
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
+0.80
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
57%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
0.96
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
36%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.00
Sub_Avg
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career Averages (per fight)
47.8
Sig. Strikes
1.7
Takedowns
0.0
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO1 (25%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO0 (0%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
100%
4W – 0L in 4 fights
As Underdog
0%
0W – 1L in 1 fights
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
lost to Curtis Blaydes
-0.21500
def. Mark Hunt
+0.21501
def. Chase Sherman
+0.11500
def. Allen Crowder
+0.11500
def. James Mulheron
+0.11500
Division ELO Rankings
Heavyweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Valter Walker
1555
Mario Pinto
1550
Vitor Petrino
1544
Josh Hokit
1541
Brando Pericic
1540
Martin Buday
1528
Sergei Pavlovich
1520
Tyrell Fortune
1520
Alexander Volkov
1519
Fight History (5 fights)
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Mar 23, 2019
Loss
View Analysis →vs Mark Hunt
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · Dec 1, 2018
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · Apr 21, 2018
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · Dec 2, 2017
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · Jul 16, 2017