Keita Nakamura
4W · 4L
Southpaw
Welterweight
25% finish rate50% as favorite50% as underdog
1492
ELO Rating
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1491.5Developing→
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
No recent fights — out of active rankings
Age
42
May 22, 1984
Height
5'11" (180.34 cm)
Reach
185.42 cm
Win Rate
50.0%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
2.23
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
3.20
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
-0.97
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
58%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
1.65
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
63%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.30
Sub_Avg
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career Averages (per fight)
31.9
Sig. Strikes
1.8
Takedowns
0.5
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO0 (0%)
Submission1 (25%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO0 (0%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
50%
2W – 2L in 4 fights
As Underdog
50%
2W – 2L in 4 fights
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
lost to Sultan Aliev
-0.11500
def. Salim Touahri
+0.11500
lost to Anthony Rocco Martin
-0.11500
def. Alex Morono
+0.11500
lost to Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
0.01500
def. Kyle Noke
0.01500
lost to Tom Breese
0.01500
def. Li Jingliang
0.01500
Division ELO Rankings
Welterweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Michael Morales
1552
Carlos Prates
1551
Myktybek Orolbai
1550
Gabriel Bonfim
1548
Jacobe Smith
1547
Michael Page
1547
Islam Makhachev
1545
Uros Medic
1540
Fight History (8 fights)
vs Sultan Aliev
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · Apr 20, 2019
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · Dec 1, 2018
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · Apr 21, 2018
Loss
View Analysis →vs Alex Morono
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · Sep 22, 2017
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · Oct 1, 2016
Loss
View Analysis →vs Kyle Noke
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · Jul 13, 2016
vs Tom Breese
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · Feb 27, 2016
Loss
View Analysis →vs Li Jingliang
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · Sep 26, 2015