Mackenzie Dern
11W · 5L
Orthodox
Women's Strawweight
45% finish rate69% as favorite67% as underdog
1522
ELO Rating
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1521.5Contender↗
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
#12of 42 active
Age
33
Mar 24, 1993
Height
5'4" (162.56 cm)
Reach
160.02 cm
Win Rate
68.8%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
3.47
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
3.93
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
-0.46
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
51%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
0.93
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
37%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.10
Sub_Avg
Submission threat
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career Averages (per fight)
7.9
Sig. Strikes
0.7
Takedowns
1.3
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO0 (0%)
Submission5 (45%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO1 (20%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
69%
9W – 4L in 13 fights
As Underdog
67%
2W – 1L in 3 fights
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
def. Virna Jandiroba
+11.11522
def. Amanda Ribas
+7.81510
def. Loopy Godinez
+5.31503
lost to Amanda Lemos
-3.31497
lost to Jessica Andrade
-3.21501
def. Angela Hill
+2.11504
lost to Yan Xiaonan
-1.31502
def. Tecia Torres
+1.11503
lost to Marina Rodriguez
-0.71502
def. Nina Nunes
+0.91503
def. Virna Jandiroba
+0.41502
def. Randa Markos
+0.71501
def. Hannah Cifers
+0.51501
lost to Amanda Ribas
-0.31500
def. Amanda Cooper
+0.11500
def. Ashley Yoder
+0.11500
Division ELO Rankings
Women's Strawweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Alexia Thainara
1546
Denise Gomes
1540
Fatima Kline
1539
Talita Alencar
1528
Piera Rodriguez
1527
Iasmin Lucindo
1526
Jaqueline Amorim
1524
Loopy Godinez
1522
Tabatha Ricci
1522
Fight History (16 fights)
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Oct 25, 2025
vs Amanda Ribas
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 3, 2024
vs Amanda Lemos
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · Feb 17, 2024
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
Loss
View Analysis →vs Angela Hill
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
vs Yan Xiaonan
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 1, 2022
Loss
View Analysis →vs Tecia Torres
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Apr 9, 2022
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · Oct 9, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →vs Nina Nunes
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · Apr 10, 2021
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · Dec 12, 2020
vs Randa Markos
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Sep 19, 2020
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · May 30, 2020
vs Amanda Ribas
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · Oct 12, 2019
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · May 12, 2018
vs Ashley Yoder
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · Mar 3, 2018