Paul Craig
9W · 11L
Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Middleweight
100% finish rate100% as favorite35% as underdog
1472
ELO Rating
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1472.0Developing↘
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
#37of 43 active
Age
38
Nov 27, 1987
Height
6'3" (190.5 cm)
Reach
193.04 cm
Win Rate
45.0%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
2.50
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
3.04
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
-0.54
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
43%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
1.43
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
35%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.30
Sub_Avg
Submission threat
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career Averages (per fight)
7.6
Sig. Strikes
1.4
Takedowns
1.5
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO3 (33%)
Submission6 (67%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO6 (55%)
Submission2 (18%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
100%
3W – 0L in 3 fights
As Underdog
35%
6W – 11L in 17 fights
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
lost to Modestas Bukauskas
-16.11472
lost to Bo Nickal
-7.51488
lost to Caio Borralho
-4.71496
lost to Brendan Allen
-3.21500
def. Andre Muniz
+3.11504
lost to Johnny Walker
-1.91500
lost to Volkan Oezdemir
-1.11502
def. Nikita Krylov
+1.41503
def. Jamahal Hill
+1.01502
def. Mauricio Rua
+0.51501
def. Gadzhimurad Antigulov
+0.41501
def. Vinicius Moreira
+0.21500
lost to Alonzo Menifield
-0.21500
def. Kennedy Nzechukwu
+0.21500
lost to Jimmy Crute
-0.21500
def. Magomed Ankalaev
+0.11500
lost to Khalil Rountree Jr.
-0.11500
lost to Tyson Pedro
-0.11500
def. Henrique da Silva
0.01500
Division ELO Rankings
Light Heavyweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Navajo Stirling
1567
Carlos Ulberg
1554
Billy Elekana
1545
Bogdan Guskov
1541
Alex Pereira
1541
Iwo Baraniewski
1541
Dustin Jacoby
1533
Jiri Prochazka
1521
Fight History (20 fights)
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 6, 2025
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Loss
View Analysis →vs Bo Nickal
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 4, 2024
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Loss
View Analysis →vs Andre Muniz
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
vs Jamahal Hill
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
vs Mauricio Rua
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · Jul 25, 2020
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · Sep 21, 2019
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · Jun 29, 2019
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · Mar 30, 2019
vs Jimmy Crute
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · Dec 1, 2018
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · Mar 17, 2018
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · Jul 16, 2017
Loss
View Analysis →vs Tyson Pedro
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · Mar 4, 2017
Loss
View Analysis →UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · Dec 17, 2016