Rafael Tobias

Fighter overview

ELO Rating

1454.0Developing↘

Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified

Division ELO

#41of 47 active

Light Heavyweight rankings →

Age

23

Mar 20, 2003

Height

6'2" (187.96 cm)

Reach

187.96 cm

Win Rate

0.0%

Output & Defense

Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)

Strikes landed / min

2.77

SLpM

Strikes absorbed / min

5.81

SApM (lower is better)

Net striking

-3.04

SLpM − SApM

Strike defense

35%

Opponent strikes evaded

Takedowns / 15 min

2.40

TD_Avg

Takedown defense

100%

Opponent TDs stuffed

Sub attempts / 15 min

1.60

Sub_Avg

Active wrestlerElite TD defenseSubmission threat

Head-to-Head Comparison

Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side

Career statistics

Career Averages (per fight)

2.8

Sig. Strikes

2.4

Takedowns

1.6

Sub Attempts

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO1 (50%)

Submission0 (0%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

0%

0W – 1L in 1 fights

As Underdog

0%

0W – 1L in 1 fights

ELO analysis

ELO Trajectory

Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details

WinLossDrawCurrent ELO2 fights

Elo Changes

Rating gained or lost in each fight

lost to Lucas Fernando

Aug 15, 2026

-29.71454

lost to Diyar Nurgozhay

Mar 7, 2026

-16.41484

Division ELO Rankings

Light Heavyweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill

#1Navajo Stirling

1617

↗

#2Carlos Ulberg

1570

↗

#3Iwo Baraniewski

1562

↗

#4Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

1562

↗

#5Billy Elekana

1542

↗

1536

1534

1530

1527

↗

#10Lucas Fernando

1527

Showing top 10 of 47 active fighters · Full rankings →

Professional fight history

Fight History (2 fights)

vs Lucas Fernando

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · Aug 15, 2026

Light Heavyweight

Loss

KO/TKO · Rnd 3View Analysis →

vs Diyar Nurgozhay

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · Mar 7, 2026