Women's Flyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Valentina Shevchenko won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, September 14, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlexa Grasso: Pressure fightervsValentina Shevchenko: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Alexa Grasso wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Valentina Shevchenko wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valentina Shevchenko has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Valentina Shevchenko (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alexa Grasso
Red Corner
VS
Valentina Shevchenko
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
32
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexa Grasso
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Joanne Wood · Mar 22W
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 22W
SUBvs Valentina Shevchenko · Mar 23L
vs Natalia Silva · May 25W
KOvs Maycee Barber · Mar 26Valentina ShevchenkoW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Lauren Murphy · Sep 21W
vs Taila Santos · Jun 22L
SUBvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 23W
vs Manon Fiorot · May 25W
vs Zhang Weili · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexa GrassoMetricValentina Shevchenko
4.11
Strikes / min
3.04
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
2.00
58%
Strike defense
63%
0.40
TDs / 15 min
2.65
54%
Takedown defense
76%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.40evenly matched on net striking+1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexa GrassoValentina Shevchenko
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexa Grasso(10 fights)Valentina Shevchenko(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-46.846.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Alexa Grasso
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Valentina Shevchenko
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights18