Lightweight
3 Rounds
Esteban Ribovics won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 14, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDaniel Zellhuber: Pressure fightervsEsteban Ribovics: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Esteban Ribovics wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Esteban Ribovics wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Zellhuber has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Zellhuber (52.9%).
- Daniel Zellhuber has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Zellhuber
Red Corner
VS
Esteban Ribovics
Blue Corner
-198
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+164
(38%)
26
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
195.58 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel ZellhuberL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Lando Vannata · Apr 23W
SUBvs Christos Giagos · Sep 23W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 24L
vs Michael Johnson · Jul 25L
KOvs King Green · Feb 26Esteban Ribovics
oldest →latest
L
vs Loik Radzhabov · Mar 23W
vs Kamuela Kirk · Jul 23W
KOvs Terrance McKinney · May 24L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Mar 25W
vs Elves Brener · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel ZellhuberMetricEsteban Ribovics
5.45
Strikes / min
7.27
6.17
Strikes absorbed / min
5.83
54%
Strike defense
54%
0.14
TDs / 15 min
0.35
81%
Takedown defense
66%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.72Δ 2.16 — meaningful gap+1.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel ZellhuberEsteban Ribovics
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Zellhuber(7 fights)Esteban Ribovics(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.5-14.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Daniel Zellhuber
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7
Esteban Ribovics
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6