Flyweight
3 Rounds
Joshua Van won · U-DEC R3
EC
JV
Edgar ChairezvsJoshua Van
UFC Event · Saturday, September 14, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Edgar Chairez wins(57.5%)
Actual result: Joshua Van wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edgar Chairez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Joshua Van enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Joshua Van has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joshua Van has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Edgar Chairez has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Edgar Chairez
Red Corner
VS
Joshua Van
Blue Corner
+225
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-278
(74%)
30
Age
24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'5"
180.34 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edgar ChairezW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tatsuro Taira · Jul 23W
SUBvs Daniel Lacerda · Feb 24W
SUBvs CJ Vergara · Mar 25W
vs Felipe Bunes · Feb 26Joshua VanW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cody Durden · Dec 24W
vs Rei Tsuruya · Mar 25W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 25W
vs Brandon Royval · Jun 25W
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edgar ChairezMetricJoshua Van
3.65
Strikes / min
8.43
4.75
Strikes absorbed / min
5.82
46%
Strike defense
58%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.82
38%
Takedown defense
75%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.10Δ 3.71 — meaningful gap+2.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Edgar ChairezJoshua Van
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edgar Chairez(5 fights)Joshua Van(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-26.126.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+140.0-140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Edgar Chairez
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5
Joshua Van
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10