Welterweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Holland won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 8, 2023·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupKevin Holland: Well-roundedvsSantiago Ponzinibbio: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Kevin Holland wins(53.0%)
Actual result: Kevin Holland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Santiago Ponzinibbio has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kevin Holland has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kevin Holland
Red Corner
VS
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
33
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'0"
205.74 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Santiago Ponzinibbio
oldest →latest
L
vs Michel Pereira · May 22W
KOvs Alex Morono · Dec 22L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 24W
KOvs Carlston Harris · Jan 25L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricSantiago Ponzinibbio
4.24
Strikes / min
4.78
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
4.68
50%
Strike defense
61%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
0.60
57%
Takedown defense
71%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kevin HollandSantiago Ponzinibbio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Santiago Ponzinibbio(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-33.533.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27
Santiago Ponzinibbio
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights20