Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raul Rosas Jr. won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 14, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRaul Rosas Jr.: WrestlervsAoriqileng: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Raul Rosas Jr. wins(64.7%)
Actual result: Raul Rosas Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Aoriqileng has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Raul Rosas Jr. (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Raul Rosas Jr.
Red Corner
VS
Aoriqileng
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
21
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raul Rosas Jr.W4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Christian Rodriguez · Apr 23W
KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Sep 23W
SUBvs Ricky Turcios · Jun 24W
vs Vince Morales · Mar 25W
vs Rob Font · Mar 26AoriqilengW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Cameron Else · Apr 22W
vs Jay Perrin · Aug 22L
KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 23W
vs Johnny Munoz · Oct 23W
KOvs Cody Gibson · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raul Rosas Jr.MetricAoriqileng
1.34
Strikes / min
4.69
1.24
Strikes absorbed / min
5.47
52%
Strike defense
48%
6.10
TDs / 15 min
1.20
25%
Takedown defense
58%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10evenly matched on net striking-0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raul Rosas Jr.Aoriqileng
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raul Rosas Jr.(7 fights)Aoriqileng(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.3-15.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-245.0245.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Raul Rosas Jr.
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7
Aoriqileng
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights7