Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Santiago Ponzinibbio won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 10, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSantiago Ponzinibbio: Pressure fightervsAlex Morono: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Alex Morono wins(60.8%)
Actual result: Santiago Ponzinibbio wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Santiago Ponzinibbio has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Red Corner
VS
Alex Morono
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
39
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Santiago Ponzinibbio
oldest →latest
L
vs Michel Pereira · May 22L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Apr 23L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 24W
KOvs Carlston Harris · Jan 25L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · May 25Alex MoronoL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Court McGee · Apr 24L
vs Niko Price · Jun 24L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24L
KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25L
vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Santiago PonzinibbioMetricAlex Morono
4.78
Strikes / min
4.90
4.68
Strikes absorbed / min
4.88
61%
Strike defense
55%
0.60
TDs / 15 min
0.32
71%
Takedown defense
47%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Santiago PonzinibbioAlex Morono
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Santiago Ponzinibbio(10 fights)Alex Morono(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-25.725.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Santiago Ponzinibbio
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights20
Alex Morono
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights23