Welterweight
3 Rounds
Santiago Ponzinibbio won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 11, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSantiago Ponzinibbio: Pressure fightervsCarlston Harris: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Carlston Harris wins(52.5%)
Actual result: Santiago Ponzinibbio wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Santiago Ponzinibbio enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Santiago Ponzinibbio is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Carlston Harris has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Santiago Ponzinibbio has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Red Corner
VS
Carlston Harris
Blue Corner
-154
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
39
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Santiago PonzinibbioL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Michel Pereira · May 22W
KOvs Alex Morono · Dec 22L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Apr 23L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 24L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · May 25Carlston Harris
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Impa Kasanganay · Sep 21L
KOvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Feb 22W
vs Jared Gooden · Mar 23W
SUBvs Jeremiah Wells · Aug 23L
KOvs Khaos Williams · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Santiago PonzinibbioMetricCarlston Harris
4.78
Strikes / min
3.79
4.68
Strikes absorbed / min
3.46
61%
Strike defense
54%
0.60
TDs / 15 min
1.46
71%
Takedown defense
55%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Santiago PonzinibbioCarlston Harris
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Santiago Ponzinibbio(10 fights)Carlston Harris(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.2-22.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Santiago Ponzinibbio
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights20
Carlston Harris
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights7