Welterweight
3 Rounds
Lorenz Larkin won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 27, 2015·Hollywood, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupSantiago Ponzinibbio: Pressure fightervsLorenz Larkin: Elusive striker
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Santiago Ponzinibbio wins(62.5%)
Actual result: Lorenz Larkin wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lorenz Larkin is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Santiago Ponzinibbio has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Red Corner
VS
Lorenz Larkin
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Santiago Ponzinibbio
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alex Morono · Dec 22L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Apr 23L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 24W
KOvs Carlston Harris · Jan 25L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · May 25Lorenz LarkinW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Derek Brunson · Aug 14W
KOvs John Howard · Jan 15L
vs Albert Tumenov · Jan 16W
vs Jorge Masvidal · May 16W
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Santiago PonzinibbioMetricLorenz Larkin
4.78
Strikes / min
3.53
4.68
Strikes absorbed / min
2.74
61%
Strike defense
63%
0.60
TDs / 15 min
0.27
71%
Takedown defense
79%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Santiago PonzinibbioLorenz Larkin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Santiago Ponzinibbio(10 fights)Lorenz Larkin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+43.7-43.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Santiago Ponzinibbio
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights20
Lorenz Larkin
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10