Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Ketlen Souza won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 14, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupYazmin Jauregui: Pressure fightervsKetlen Souza: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Yazmin Jauregui wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Ketlen Souza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yazmin Jauregui has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Yazmin Jauregui
Red Corner
VS
Ketlen Souza
Blue Corner
-535
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+400
(20%)
27
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'3"
162.56 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yazmin Jauregui
oldest →latest
W
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 22W
KOvs Istela Nunes · Dec 22L
KOvs Denise Gomes · Jul 23W
vs Sam Hughes · Feb 24Ketlen Souza
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Karine Silva · Jun 23W
vs Marnic Mann · Apr 24L
vs Angela Hill · Feb 25L
vs Piera Rodriguez · Aug 25W
vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yazmin JaureguiMetricKetlen Souza
6.64
Strikes / min
4.01
5.25
Strikes absorbed / min
3.86
54%
Strike defense
52%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.46
100%
Takedown defense
53%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Yazmin JaureguiKetlen Souza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yazmin Jauregui(5 fights)Ketlen Souza(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.9-26.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Yazmin Jauregui
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights5
Ketlen Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights6