Skip to content

Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

This week's picks

Sign in Sign up

Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

Learn

Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

This week's picks

Sign up Already have an account? Sign in

An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

Explore

Predictions
Track Record
Us vs Vegas
Betting ROI
Fighters
Calendar

Learn

Engine 4.0 System
How our ELO works
Our Philosophy
What predicts fights
Model analytics
Test the Model
Error analysis

Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

Terms Privacy Disclaimer

For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Melquizael Costa

7W · 2L

Southpaw

Featherweight

Lightweight

57% finish rate86% as favorite50% as underdog

1577

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Career Averages (per fight)

4.0

Sig. Strikes

2.2

Takedowns

1.1

Sub Attempts

How They Win

KO/TKO2 (29%)

Submission2 (29%)

Decision0 (0%)

Loss Vulnerability

KO/TKO1 (50%)

Submission1 (50%)

Decision0 (0%)

Betting Profile

Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog

As Favorite

86%

6W – 1L in 7 fights

As Underdog

50%

1W – 1L in 2 fights