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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Melquizael Costa

7W · 2L

Southpaw

Featherweight

Lightweight

57% finish rate86% as favorite50% as underdog

1577

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Fight History (9 fights)

· Feb 21, 2026

Featherweight

Win

KO/TKO · Rnd 1View Analysis →

vs Morgan Charriere

· Dec 13, 2025

Featherweight

Win

KO/TKO · Rnd 1View Analysis →

vs Julian Erosa

· May 17, 2025

Featherweight

Win

U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →

vs Christian Rodriguez

· Mar 29, 2025

Featherweight

Win

U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →

· Feb 22, 2025

Featherweight

Win

SUB · Rnd 1View Analysis →

vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

· Jun 15, 2024

Featherweight

Win

SUB · Rnd 3View Analysis →

vs Steve Garcia

· Dec 9, 2023

Lightweight

Loss

KO/TKO · Rnd 2View Analysis →

vs Austin Lingo

· Jul 15, 2023

Featherweight

Win

U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →

vs Thiago Moises

· Jan 21, 2023

Lightweight

Loss

SUB · Rnd 2View Analysis →