Michael Chiesa
15W · 7L
Southpaw
Welterweight
Lightweight
60% finish rate79% as favorite50% as underdog
1530
ELO Rating
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1529.6Contender↗
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
#18of 74 active
Age
38
Dec 7, 1987
Height
6'1" (185.42 cm)
Reach
190.5 cm
Win Rate
68.2%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
2.02
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
1.73
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
+0.29
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
57%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
3.11
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
65%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.00
Sub_Avg
Active wrestlerSubmission threat
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career Averages (per fight)
9.2
Sig. Strikes
2.4
Takedowns
1.0
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO0 (0%)
Submission9 (60%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO1 (14%)
Submission5 (71%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
79%
11W – 3L in 14 fights
As Underdog
50%
4W – 4L in 8 fights
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
def. Niko Price
+14.61530
def. Court McGee
+7.01515
def. Max Griffin
+6.91508
def. Tony Ferguson
+5.01501
lost to Kevin Holland
-3.51496
lost to Sean Brady
-0.71500
lost to Vicente Luque
-0.71500
def. Neil Magny
+0.61501
def. Rafael Dos Anjos
+0.21501
def. Diego Sanchez
+0.21500
def. Carlos Condit
+0.11500
lost to Anthony Pettis
-0.11500
lost to Kevin Lee
0.01500
def. Beneil Dariush
0.01500
def. Jim Miller
0.01500
def. Mitch Clarke
0.01500
lost to Joe Lauzon
0.01500
def. Francisco Trinaldo
0.01500
def. Colton Smith
0.01500
lost to Jorge Masvidal
0.01500
def. Anton Kuivanen
0.01500
def. Al Iaquinta
0.01500
Division ELO Rankings
Welterweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Michael Morales
1552
Carlos Prates
1551
Myktybek Orolbai
1550
Gabriel Bonfim
1548
Jacobe Smith
1547
Michael Page
1547
Islam Makhachev
1545
Uros Medic
1540
Fight History (22 fights)
vs Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
vs Court McGee
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
vs Max Griffin
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 7, 2024
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 3, 2024
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
Loss
View Analysis →vs Sean Brady
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Nov 20, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · Aug 7, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →vs Neil Magny
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · Jan 20, 2021
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · Jan 25, 2020
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · Jul 6, 2019
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Dec 29, 2018
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · Jul 7, 2018
Loss
View Analysis →vs Kevin Lee
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · Jun 25, 2017
Loss
View Analysis →UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · Apr 16, 2016
vs Jim Miller
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · Dec 10, 2015
vs Mitch Clarke
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · Apr 4, 2015
vs Joe Lauzon
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · Sep 5, 2014
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · May 24, 2014
vs Colton Smith
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · Nov 6, 2013
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · Jul 27, 2013
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · Feb 23, 2013
vs Al Iaquinta
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · Jun 1, 2012