Rafael Alves
1W · 3L
Orthodox
Lightweight
100% finish rate25% as underdog
1453
ELO Rating
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1452.6Developing→
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
No recent fights — out of active rankings
Age
35
Nov 14, 1990
Height
5'8" (172.72 cm)
Reach
172.72 cm
Win Rate
25.0%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
1.85
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
3.30
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
-1.45
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
58%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
0.29
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
44%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.50
Sub_Avg
Submission threat
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career Averages (per fight)
1.9
Sig. Strikes
0.2
Takedowns
1.4
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO0 (0%)
Submission1 (100%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO1 (33%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Underdog
25%
1W – 3L in 4 fights
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
lost to Nurullo Aliev
-2.51496
lost to Drew Dober
-2.11499
def. Marc Diakiese
+1.31501
lost to Damir Ismagulov
-0.81499
Division ELO Rankings
Lightweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Quillan Salkilld
1573
Chris Padilla
1550
Chris Duncan
1549
Fares Ziam
1543
Mason Jones
1543
Tom Nolan
1542
Ilia Topuria
1538
Mauricio Ruffy
1537
Fight History (4 fights)
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023
Loss
View Analysis →vs Drew Dober
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · Jul 30, 2022
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →