Drew Dober
15W · 11L
Southpaw
Lightweight
Welterweight
80% finish rate73% as favorite30% as underdog
1514
ELO Rating
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1514.1Mid-tier↗
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
#29of 89 active
Age
37
Oct 19, 1988
Height
5'8" (172.72 cm)
Reach
177.8 cm
Win Rate
57.7%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
4.48
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
+0.15
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
53%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
0.61
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
58%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.10
Sub_Avg
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career Averages (per fight)
17.8
Sig. Strikes
0.6
Takedowns
0.1
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO11 (73%)
Submission1 (7%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO3 (27%)
Submission4 (36%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
73%
11W – 4L in 15 fights
As Underdog
30%
3W – 7L in 10 fights
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
def. Michael Johnson
+14.71514
def. Kyle Prepolec
+9.91500
lost to Manuel Torres
-8.91490
lost to Jean Silva
-4.21498
lost to Renato Moicano
-2.51503
def. Ricky Glenn
+2.81505
lost to Matt Frevola
-2.31502
def. Bobby Green
+2.01505
def. Rafael Alves
+1.51503
def. Terrance McKinney
+1.21501
lost to Brad Riddell
-0.51500
lost to Islam Makhachev
-0.51500
def. Alexander Hernandez
+0.41501
def. Nasrat Haqparast
+0.31501
def. Marco Polo Reyes
+0.21500
lost to Beneil Dariush
-0.11500
def. Jon Tuck
+0.11500
def. Frank Camacho
+0.11500
def. Joshua Burkman
+0.11500
lost to Olivier Aubin-Mercier
0.01500
def. Jason Gonzalez
0.01500
def. Scott Holtzman
0.01500
lost to Efrain Escudero
0.01500
def. Jamie Varner
0.01500
lost to Nick Hein
0.01500
lost to Sean Spencer
0.01500
Division ELO Rankings
Lightweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Quillan Salkilld
1573
Chris Padilla
1550
Chris Duncan
1549
Fares Ziam
1543
Mason Jones
1543
Tom Nolan
1542
Ilia Topuria
1538
Mauricio Ruffy
1537
Fight History (26 fights)
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · Mar 7, 2026
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · Oct 18, 2025
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
Loss
View Analysis →vs Jean Silva
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 3, 2024
Loss
View Analysis →vs Ricky Glenn
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 7, 2023
vs Matt Frevola
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 6, 2023
Loss
View Analysis →vs Bobby Green
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
vs Rafael Alves
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · Jul 30, 2022
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
vs Brad Riddell
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Mar 6, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · May 13, 2020
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · Jun 29, 2019
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · Mar 9, 2019
Loss
View Analysis →vs Jon Tuck
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · Aug 25, 2018
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · Jan 27, 2018
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · Jul 29, 2017
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · Dec 10, 2016
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · Sep 10, 2016
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · Jan 2, 2016
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · Jun 13, 2015
Loss
View Analysis →vs Jamie Varner
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · Dec 13, 2014
vs Nick Hein
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · May 31, 2014
Loss
View Analysis →vs Sean Spencer
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · Nov 30, 2013
Loss
View Analysis →