Mario Bautista
11W · 3L
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Bantamweight
45% finish rate88% as favorite67% as underdog
1539
ELO Rating
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1539.3Contender→
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
#7of 78 active
Age
33
Jul 1, 1993
Height
5'9" (175.26 cm)
Reach
175.26 cm
Win Rate
78.6%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
5.30
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
3.98
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
+1.32
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
54%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
1.91
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
55%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.80
Sub_Avg
High-volume striker
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career Averages (per fight)
5.7
Sig. Strikes
1.8
Takedowns
0.7
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO1 (9%)
Submission4 (36%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO1 (33%)
Submission1 (33%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
88%
7W – 1L in 8 fights
As Underdog
67%
4W – 2L in 6 fights
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
def. Vinicius Oliveira
+16.81539
lost to Umar Nurmagomedov
-9.41523
def. Patchy Mix
+10.11532
def. Jose Aldo
+6.71522
def. Ricky Simon
+4.51515
def. Da'Mon Blackshear
+3.51511
def. Guido Cannetti
+3.01507
def. Benito Lopez
+1.81504
def. Brian Kelleher
+1.31502
def. Jay Perrin
+1.41501
lost to Trevin Jones
-0.81500
def. Miles Johns
+0.41501
def. Jin Soo Son
+0.21500
lost to Cory Sandhagen
-0.21500
Division ELO Rankings
Bantamweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Farid Basharat
1558
Elijah Smith
1550
David Martinez
1546
Raul Rosas Jr.
1546
Aiemann Zahabi
1540
Mario Bautista
1539
Payton Talbott
1536
Jakub Wiklacz
1536
Fight History (14 fights)
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 7, 2026
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Oct 25, 2025
Loss
View Analysis →vs Patchy Mix
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · Jun 7, 2025
vs Jose Aldo
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · Oct 5, 2024
vs Ricky Simon
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · Jan 13, 2024
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · Aug 19, 2023
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023
vs Benito Lopez
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Nov 5, 2022
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · Jun 25, 2022
vs Jay Perrin
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Feb 19, 2022
vs Trevin Jones
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Mar 6, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →vs Miles Johns
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · Feb 8, 2020
vs Jin Soo Son
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · Jul 20, 2019
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · Jan 19, 2019
Loss
View Analysis →