Rafa Garcia
6W · 4L
Orthodox
Lightweight
33% finish rate80% as favorite40% as underdog
1518
ELO Rating
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1518.0Mid-tier↗
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
#25of 89 active
Age
31
Aug 5, 1994
Height
5'7" (170.18 cm)
Reach
177.8 cm
Win Rate
60.0%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
4.28
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
4.42
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
-0.14
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
61%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
3.22
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
77%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.40
Sub_Avg
Active wrestlerElite TD defenseElusive striker
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career Averages (per fight)
4.1
Sig. Strikes
3.0
Takedowns
0.3
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO1 (17%)
Submission1 (17%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO1 (25%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
80%
4W – 1L in 5 fights
As Underdog
40%
2W – 3L in 5 fights
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
def. Jared Gordon
+13.01518
def. Vinc Pichel
+7.31505
lost to Grant Dawson
-6.11498
def. Clay Guida
+2.31504
def. Maheshate
+1.71502
lost to Drakkar Klose
-1.71500
def. Jesse Ronson
+1.91502
def. Natan Levy
+1.31500
lost to Chris Gruetzemacher
-0.91498
lost to Nasrat Haqparast
-0.71499
Division ELO Rankings
Lightweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Quillan Salkilld
1573
Chris Padilla
1550
Chris Duncan
1549
Fares Ziam
1543
Mason Jones
1543
Tom Nolan
1542
Ilia Topuria
1538
Mauricio Ruffy
1537
Fight History (10 fights)
vs Jared Gordon
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
vs Vinc Pichel
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
vs Grant Dawson
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Oct 12, 2024
Loss
View Analysis →vs Clay Guida
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 15, 2023
vs Maheshate
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · Jul 30, 2022
Loss
View Analysis →vs Jesse Ronson
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · Apr 16, 2022
vs Natan Levy
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Nov 20, 2021
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · Mar 13, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →