Geoff Neal
8W · 6L
Southpaw
Welterweight
75% finish rate67% as favorite40% as underdog
1477
ELO Rating
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1476.9Developing↘
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
#67of 74 active
Age
35
Aug 28, 1990
Height
5'11" (180.34 cm)
Reach
190.5 cm
Win Rate
57.1%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
5.02
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
5.50
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
-0.48
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
57%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
0.54
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
87%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.10
Sub_Avg
High-volume strikerElite TD defense
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career Averages (per fight)
8.4
Sig. Strikes
0.5
Takedowns
0.3
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO5 (63%)
Submission1 (13%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO2 (33%)
Submission1 (17%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
67%
6W – 3L in 9 fights
As Underdog
40%
2W – 3L in 5 fights
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
lost to Uros Medic
-16.11477
lost to Carlos Prates
-11.21493
def. Rafael Dos Anjos
+6.61504
lost to Ian Machado Garry
-3.31498
lost to Shavkat Rakhmonov
-2.01501
def. Vicente Luque
+1.51503
def. Santiago Ponzinibbio
+0.91501
lost to Neil Magny
-0.51501
lost to Stephen Thompson
-0.41501
def. Mike Perry
+0.51501
def. Niko Price
+0.41501
def. Belal Muhammad
+0.21501
def. Frank Camacho
+0.21500
def. Brian Camozzi
+0.11500
Division ELO Rankings
Welterweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Michael Morales
1552
Carlos Prates
1551
Myktybek Orolbai
1550
Gabriel Bonfim
1548
Jacobe Smith
1547
Michael Page
1547
Islam Makhachev
1545
Uros Medic
1540
Fight History (14 fights)
vs Uros Medic
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · Feb 17, 2024
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 4, 2023
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · Aug 6, 2022
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021
vs Neil Magny
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · May 8, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Dec 19, 2020
Loss
View Analysis →vs Mike Perry
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · Dec 14, 2019
vs Niko Price
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · Jul 27, 2019
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · Jan 19, 2019
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · Sep 8, 2018
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · Feb 18, 2018