Gunnar Nelson
10W · 6L
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Welterweight
Catch Weight
80% finish rate62% as favorite67% as underdog
1496
ELO Rating
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1496.4Developing→
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
#41of 74 active
Age
37
Jul 28, 1988
Height
5'11" (180.34 cm)
Reach
182.88 cm
Win Rate
62.5%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
1.77
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
3.06
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
-1.29
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
48%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
2.00
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
68%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
1.00
Sub_Avg
Active wrestlerSubmission threat
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career Averages (per fight)
15.4
Sig. Strikes
1.3
Takedowns
0.9
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO0 (0%)
Submission8 (80%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO1 (17%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
62%
8W – 5L in 13 fights
As Underdog
67%
2W – 1L in 3 fights
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
lost to Kevin Holland
-6.51496
def. Bryan Barberena
+2.21503
def. Takashi Sato
+0.91501
lost to Gilbert Burns
-0.21500
lost to Leon Edwards
-0.11500
def. Alex Oliveira
+0.11500
lost to Santiago Ponzinibbio
0.01500
def. Alan Jouban
0.01500
def. Albert Tumenov
0.01500
lost to Demian Maia
0.01500
def. Brandon Thatch
0.01500
lost to Rick Story
0.01500
def. Zak Cummings
0.01500
def. Omari Akhmedov
0.01500
def. Jorge Santiago
0.01500
def. DaMarques Johnson
0.01500
Division ELO Rankings
Welterweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Michael Morales
1552
Carlos Prates
1551
Myktybek Orolbai
1550
Gabriel Bonfim
1548
Jacobe Smith
1547
Michael Page
1547
Islam Makhachev
1545
Uros Medic
1540
Fight History (16 fights)
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
vs Takashi Sato
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · Sep 28, 2019
Loss
View Analysis →vs Leon Edwards
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · Mar 16, 2019
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · Dec 8, 2018
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · Jul 16, 2017
Loss
View Analysis →vs Alan Jouban
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · Mar 18, 2017
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · May 8, 2016
vs Demian Maia
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · Dec 12, 2015
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · Jul 11, 2015
vs Rick Story
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · Oct 4, 2014
Loss
View Analysis →vs Zak Cummings
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · Jul 19, 2014
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · Mar 8, 2014
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · Feb 16, 2013
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · Sep 29, 2012