Jake Matthews
16W · 8L
Orthodox
Welterweight
Lightweight
50% finish rate67% as favorite50% as underdog
1510
ELO Rating
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1509.8Mid-tier→
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
#31of 74 active
Age
31
Aug 19, 1994
Height
5'11" (180.34 cm)
Reach
185.42 cm
Win Rate
66.7%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
3.34
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
2.62
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
+0.72
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
60%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
1.44
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
64%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.80
Sub_Avg
Elusive striker
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career Averages (per fight)
18.4
Sig. Strikes
1.8
Takedowns
0.7
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO2 (13%)
Submission6 (38%)
Decision1 (6%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO1 (13%)
Submission4 (50%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
67%
12W – 6L in 18 fights
As Underdog
50%
2W – 2L in 4 fights
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
lost to Neil Magny
-8.31510
def. Chidi Njokuani
+8.21518
def. Francisco Prado
+5.21510
def. Phil Rowe
+4.61505
lost to Michael Morales
-2.81500
def. Darrius Flowers
+2.81503
lost to Matthew Semelsberger
-1.51500
def. Andre Fialho
+1.31502
lost to Sean Brady
-0.51500
def. Diego Sanchez
+0.41501
def. Emil Meek
+0.21501
def. Rostem Akman
+0.21500
lost to Anthony Rocco Martin
-0.11500
def. Shinsho Anzai
+0.11500
def. Li Jingliang
+0.11500
def. Bojan Velickovic
+0.11500
lost to Andrew Holbrook
0.01500
lost to Kevin Lee
0.01500
def. Johnny Case
0.01500
def. Akbarh Arreola
0.01500
lost to James Vick
0.01500
def. Vagner Rocha
0.01500
def. Dashon Johnson
0.01500
Division ELO Rankings
Welterweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Michael Morales
1552
Carlos Prates
1551
Myktybek Orolbai
1550
Gabriel Bonfim
1548
Jacobe Smith
1547
Michael Page
1547
Islam Makhachev
1545
Uros Medic
1540
Fight History (24 fights)
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · May 30, 2026
vs Neil Magny
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 27, 2025
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Feb 8, 2025
vs Phil Rowe
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Jun 1, 2024
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
Loss
View Analysis →vs Andre Fialho
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Jun 11, 2022
vs Sean Brady
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Mar 6, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · Sep 26, 2020
vs Emil Meek
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · Feb 22, 2020
vs Rostem Akman
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · Oct 5, 2019
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · Dec 1, 2018
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · Jun 23, 2018
vs Li Jingliang
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · Feb 10, 2018
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · Nov 18, 2017
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · Nov 26, 2016
Loss
View Analysis →vs Kevin Lee
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · Jul 8, 2016
Loss
View Analysis →vs Johnny Case
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · Mar 19, 2016
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · Nov 14, 2015
vs James Vick
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · May 9, 2015
Loss
View Analysis →vs Vagner Rocha
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · Nov 7, 2014
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · Jun 28, 2014