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Predictions Fighters Calendar Rankings Us vs Vegas Track Record

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Engine 4.0 System How our ELO works Our Philosophy What predicts fights The dataset

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An AI prediction engine for UFC fights. Built on public fight data, trained on seven thousand bouts. Not affiliated with UFC.

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Engine 4.0 System
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Engine 4.0 — XGBoost + LightGBM + HistGradientBoosting

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For entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+.

Kyle Nelson

5W · 6L

Switch

Lightweight

Featherweight

40% finish rate100% as favorite38% as underdog

1496

ELO Rating

Overview Career Stats ELO Analysis Fight History All

Fight History (11 fights)

vs Terrance McKinney

· Mar 28, 2026

Lightweight

Loss

KO/TKO · Rnd 1View Analysis →

vs Matt Frevola

· Oct 18, 2025

Lightweight

Win

U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →

vs Steve Garcia

· Sep 7, 2024

Featherweight

Loss

KO/TKO · Rnd 1View Analysis →

· Mar 30, 2024

Featherweight

Win

KO/TKO · Rnd 1View Analysis →

vs Fernando Padilla

· Sep 16, 2023

Featherweight

Win

U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →

vs Blake Bilder

· Jun 10, 2023

Featherweight

Win

U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →

· Jul 23, 2022

Lightweight

Loss

U-DEC · Rnd 3View Analysis →

vs Billy Quarantillo

· Sep 12, 2020

Featherweight

Loss

KO/TKOView Analysis →

vs Marco Polo Reyes

· Sep 21, 2019

Featherweight

Win

KO/TKO · Rnd 1View Analysis →

· May 4, 2019

Featherweight

Loss

SUB · Rnd 3View Analysis →

vs Diego Ferreira

· Dec 8, 2018

Lightweight

Loss

KO/TKO · Rnd 2View Analysis →