Julian Erosa
9W · 9L
Southpaw
Featherweight
Catch Weight
67% finish rate50% as favorite50% as underdog
1495
ELO Rating
ELO RatingHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
1494.5Developing↘
Recency-weighted skill · finish-adjusted · streak-amplified
Division ELOHow is ELO calculated?18-month recency decay · streak amplification · activity velocity · career-death penalty. Old champions can't hide behind past glory.Understanding our ELO →
#45of 81 active
Age
36
Jul 31, 1989
Height
6'1" (185.42 cm)
Reach
187.96 cm
Win Rate
50.0%
Output & Defense
Rate-normalized career statistics (per 15 minutes, except strike rates which are per-minute)
Strikes landed / min
6.18
SLpM
Strikes absorbed / min
6.31
SApM (lower is better)
Net striking
-0.13
SLpM − SApM
Strike defense
48%
Opponent strikes evaded
Takedowns / 15 min
1.73
TD_Avg
Takedown defense
61%
Opponent TDs stuffed
Sub attempts / 15 min
0.70
Sub_Avg
High-volume striker
Head-to-Head Comparison
Search for a fighter to compare side-by-side
Career Averages (per fight)
13.8
Sig. Strikes
1.5
Takedowns
0.9
Sub Attempts
How They Win
KO/TKO2 (22%)
Submission4 (44%)
Decision0 (0%)
Loss Vulnerability
KO/TKO7 (78%)
Submission0 (0%)
Decision0 (0%)
Betting Profile
Win rate when fighting as favorite vs underdog
As Favorite
50%
3W – 3L in 6 fights
As Underdog
50%
6W – 6L in 12 fights
ELO Trajectory
Skill rating evolution — hover dots for fight details
Elo Changes
Rating gained or lost in each fight
lost to Lerryan Douglas
-15.31495
lost to Melquizael Costa
-7.51510
def. Darren Elkins
+8.91517
def. Christian Rodriguez
+5.41508
def. Ricardo Ramos
+4.31503
lost to Fernando Padilla
-2.31499
lost to Alex Caceres
-1.81501
def. Hakeem Dawodu
+1.31503
def. Steven Peterson
+1.01501
def. Charles Jourdain
+0.81500
lost to SeungWoo Choi
-0.71500
def. Nate Landwehr
+0.61500
def. Sean Woodson
+0.31500
lost to Julio Arce
-0.31499
lost to Grant Dawson
-0.21500
lost to Devonte Smith
-0.21500
lost to Teruto Ishihara
0.01500
def. Marcin Wrzosek
0.01500
Division ELO Rankings
Featherweight · Active fighters ranked by recency-weighted skill
Kevin Vallejos
1577
Melquizael Costa
1576
Mairon Santos
1559
Jean Silva
1559
Steve Garcia
1552
Nathaniel Wood
1544
Youssef Zalal
1540
Luke Riley
1539
Movsar Evloev
1537
Lerone Murphy
1535
Fight History (18 fights)
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 17, 2025
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 12, 2025
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · Apr 29, 2023
Loss
View Analysis →vs Alex Caceres
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · Sep 10, 2022
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 5, 2022
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · Sep 4, 2021
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · Feb 20, 2021
vs Sean Woodson
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · Jun 27, 2020
vs Julio Arce
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · May 18, 2019
Loss
View Analysis →vs Grant Dawson
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · Mar 9, 2019
Loss
View Analysis →UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · Nov 10, 2018
Loss
View Analysis →UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · Mar 5, 2016
Loss
View Analysis →The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · Dec 11, 2015